Francesco Curto, PhD (Global Head of CROCI Investment Strategy & Valuation Group) will talk through the recently published 2018 CROCI Outlook for equity markets, based on bottom-up analysis using CROCI’s proprietary economic valuation approach.
In our 2017 outlook, we compared the world of investment to the journey that Odysseus took to return to Ithaca from Troy. The story ultimately had a happy ending, but the journey was long and perilous, and riddled with danger. Ten years since the great financial crisis, economic growth has picked up across the major economies but equity valuations are stretched. On long-term assumptions, our analysis suggests that equities may be overvalued by as much as 25%. Even so, there are some interesting pockets of value for long-term investors.
The Outlook discusses these valuation opportunities, how to perform in a high valuation environment, the risk of bubbles, and of course regional & sectoral valuation anomalies.