Neal Mackertich, Ph.D., Raytheon Integrated Defense Systems
Crystal Ball is a powerful enabler in the modeling & analysis of performance and its associated risk and opportunity. Process Performance Models relate behavior and interaction of processes to an outcome order to predict future performance and manage risk. The purpose of this presentation is provide an overview of a suite of highly effective Process Performance Models developed and deployed at Raytheon Integrated Defense Systems using Crystal Ball. To be included in this presentation are Raytheon’s Systems Lifecycle Analysis Model (SLAM), Scheduling Analysis of Variability Engine (SAVE), Predictive Cost Model (PCM) & Effort based on Size & Productivity (ESP) Process Performance Models.
This webcast will give the viewer a tour of the new features and capabilities in Oracle Crystal Ball, as of release 188.8.131.52.000. Over the last two and a half years, Oracle has invested substantial development resources into Crystal Ball, adding to, and improving all aspects of the solution. The core capabilities of predictive modeling, risk modeling and decision modeling have been strengthened and expanded. We’ve solidified our traditional spreadsheet-based foundation with support for the latest Excel and Microsoft release. Additionally, by leveraging Oracle product development resources and know-how, we’ve added new unique integration features that take Crystal Ball well beyond the spreadsheet.
Monte Carlo simulation is a widely used technique for dealing with business uncertainty in applications like cost estimation, continuous improvement, engineering, and business forecasting. In this 10 minute segment, we illustrate why simulation is useful for these applications, and demonstrate how it works on a very simple cost-estimation model. The example shows how a single estimate of project cost is naïve regarding expectations and downside exposures of the company to the project.
Crystal Ball for Continuous Improvement: The Right Technology Right Now
Continuous improvement is currently being used by world class companies to improve profitability and gain competitive advantage. In this short presentation, variability is identified as the culprit in many companies’ poor operations. Variability has historically been difficult to deal with as companies try to model and forecast the impact it has on their processes. Crystal Ball is demonstrated to empower companies to estimate variability, model and forecast its impact on their processes, and ultimately enable them to design their operations to effectively mitigate the negative impact of variability on their bottom line.
A cost estimate is a projection of a future occurrence. At its most basic, cost is price times quantity, and in any estimate either price, quantity, or both, are uncertain to some degree. When a cost projection includes hundreds, thousands or more uncertain elements, it’s easy to understand why some sort of cost risk analysis has long been considered the best way to calculate how much to reserve in contingencies against overruns.
In today’s presentation we will look at the risk assessment work that goes into a complete cost estimate, the related business challenges and the Oracle solution.
Tandem y Oracle-Crystal Ball los invitan a participar al próximo seminario online sobre "Cómo optimizar portafolios estratégicamente".
Cuando el nivel de incertidumbre es alto y los tiempos y presupuestos son acotados se torna fundamental decidir de manera eficiente. Los ejecutivos se enfrentan a un dilema habitual: ¿cómo asignar recursos escasos a diferentes tareas, activos, marcas o productos con resultados inciertos? El ejecutivo debe decidir cómo asignar tiempos, presupuesto y personas a diferentes proyectos, programas, productos, canales, regiones, filiales o unidades de negocio, de manera de mantener balanceada la operación y obtener los mejores resultados posibles a un menor costo. El análisis de portafolios es un método que ayuda a evaluar alternativas estimando el impacto sobre la performance global de la compañía. De esta manera, permite seleccionar la combinación de alternativas que optimiza los objetivos estratégicos.
Los diferentes tópicos a desarrollar durante el seminario incluirán:
. Los conceptos claves del Análisis de Portafolios.
. Etapas de una empresa hacia la implementación de la Gestión Estratégica de Portafolios
. Decisión de Optimización de proyectos maximizando la eficiencia de los recursos en contextos de alta incertidumbre.
. Los beneficios de la optimización de portafolios utilizando Crystal Ball.
El evento será presentado por Federico Esseiva, Director de Tandem Soluciones.
Forecasting, particularly as part of any organization’s planning process, is a key factor in the organization’s success. If one considers a plan as both what the organization would like the future to be, as well as a roadmap to get there, then the forecast upon which the plan is built, is a critical starting point on that road to success. This presentation will focus on how to create forecasts that are both comprehensive and accurate so that the execution of the plan throughout the year does indeed contribute to the organization’s key business requirement of improving revenue and margin.
Mark Treat, VP Education, ABPMP; Jonathan Fleck, Johns Manville Roofing Systems; Jim Franklin, Oracle
How different does a forecast have to be for you to make a different decision? Accuracy in forecasting at all levels of the organization ultimately rolls up to more certainty in financial forecasts, resulting in fewer surprises, more credibility and better profits. So how do you ensure your organization is delivering the most accurate forecast possible, especially when historical data is limited? Industry experts point to Time Series Forecasting as the answer for businesses today.
Tolerance stackups are fundamental engineering design tools which ensure the fit and function of products. Often times, the design engineer estimates the dimensional target values based on his/her experience, which tends to be ambiguous. What is difficult for them to account for is actual part variation. As a result, the defect rate of new products often comes as a surprise. Oracle Crystal Ball enables one to pick nominal values that will minimize the defect rate of new product launches.
Proved, Probable and Possible: A systematic process for stochastic reserves estimates
The ability to estimate reserves stochastically – mainly with Monte Carlo simulation - is a critical part of Upstream Oil and Gas E&P.
While Monte Carlo simulation works well for producing the probabilities, using spreadsheets as the modeling environment can be challenging. Customers tell us that they waste time manually linking and aggregating spreadsheets; that they can’t perform a stochastic estimate at any but the lowest zone level; that it’s difficult to report and share results from multiple analysts.
Oracle’s solution answers these requirements. It keeps Monte Carlo simulation with a spreadsheet user interface, for the easy frontline user experience, and combines it with a robust and scalable database for storage, aggregation and reporting.
This short webcast will show you how you can move beyond today’s spreadsheet challenges and focus on truly understanding and managing the uncertainty in your reserves to optimize value.
Live and Recorded webcasts, product demos and tutorials for Finance, B
Oracle Crystal Ball is the leading spreadsheet-based application suite for predictive modeling, forecasting, simulation, and optimization. It gives you unparalleled insight into the critical factors affecting risk. With Crystal Ball, you can make the right tactical decisions to reach your objectives and gain a competitive edge under even the most uncertain market conditions.
To ensure our customers have access to the best and brightest information on key industry topics, we are delivering presentations from Industry and Product Experts, Existing Customers, and Thought Leaders. Complimenting the presentation calendar is an ongoing set of Product Demos and Self-Service Tutorials delivered by Oracle Product Experts. The Oracle Crystal Ball Channel is the home of Informed Business Decisions.
JMeter is popular with developers for creating tests that can be run easily during development. With the SOASTA CloudTest Spring release, it's easy to run JMeter tests in CloudTest from low-levels during development all the way to full scale load in production, with all of the great CloudTest features. Come learn how easy it is to shift-left and shift-right and make testing continuous.
CISOs are often asked to justify a growing budget by showing ROI. But at the end of the day the security organization spends a lot of money and the answer to what is the ROI is that nothing happened. Because when the security leader is doing their job they are invisible. That is a very difficult conversation to have when you are trying to justify growing budget. The challenge is to change the perception as a cost center and become visible. This webinar will explore how to overcome these challenges by influencing the larger company’s budget to eliminate security concerns.
•Thinking Differently about ROI as companies build IoT businesses and move into cloud-based environments where there are no walls
•Mind Mapping the Business: The ROI Mind-Set of Security
•How Threat Detection and Incident Management Becomes a Competitive Advantage
•The Vision for Next Gen Automated Cybersecurity
Speaker: Michael Schiebel
45 Minutes Presentation/15 Minutes for Q & A/Crowdchat
Archaic analytics approaches can create bottlenecks, generate unreliable data, and make it hard for everyone at your organization to get the insights that they need. In this webinar, learn how modernizing your analytics practices from the bottom up can help you make smarter decisions with data.
Data-driven companies are always striving to provide more meaningful customer engagement across multiple channels by better understanding their customers and prospects. The challenge is how to harness the wealth of data not just from peoples' transactions, but also generated by interactions from social, mobile, and IoT. Successful organizations are modernizing the data architecture to access, integrate, match, and analyze all types of data to understand customer behavior so marketers can drive more effective and relevant campaigns.
In this webinar, you’ll hear from the CTO’s at Cloudera, Teradata, and Informatica as they describe how to successfully build a marketing data lake as part of a unified data architecture that drives customer insights and revenue.
Join us to find out the perfect blend of creative freedom and data governance that comes from leveraging the power of SAS Visual Analytics and the familiarity of Microsoft Office. We'll load data from Office applications to SAS Visual Analytics, analyze the data to get insights in seconds, and empower you with smarter presentations to tell the best story about your business.
The new competitive battleground for business is customer experience. Your success hinges on ensuring every customer interaction is the best it can be, but for businesses undergoing digital transformations, that means developing comprehensive monitoring across a growing number of channels while gaining valuable insights into all aspects of the customer experience. To successfully deliver a five star experience you need insights that will allow you to optimize the complete buyer’s journey across web, mobile, and wearables and provide flawless operational performance.
This recorded demo introduces a new offering brought to you by the creators of CA Application Performance Management.
Every time you turn around, you hear about yet another organization’s successful Agile transformation – so what are you waiting for? Join Andy Jordan, ProjectManagement.com as he discusses the benefits of Agile (even if your organization is predominantly waterfall-focused) and how you can help get your organization on the path to Agile success. By attending, you will gain practical knowledge on how to help your organization quickly and confidently respond to change, deliver value faster than your competition, and build high-quality products - that your customers really want!
This session is approved for 1 Project Management Institute (PMI) PMP Credit.
As online applications become more sophisticated and consumer transactions continue to sky rocket, our customers are finding that data volumes are also spiraling and that all too often customer experience is going in the opposite direction as performance levels start to drop off.
Join us on this webinar to find out how Informatica has already helped a number of online organization's tackle this problem.
Worried that storage infrastructure can’t support petabyte growth or next-generation workloads? Do you want to move more workloads to the cloud to help reduce costs and enable new opportunities for your business? If so, this webinar is for you!
Red Hat Ceph storage is a massively scalable (we’re talking petabytes and beyond), software-defined storage solution that delivers unified storage (block, file, object) for your cloud environment. However, the challenge with PB scale, is maintaining high-performance and data center efficiency. That’s where Red Hat and SanDisk come to play!
Red Hat and SanDisk have partnered to deliver a Ceph-tested, Red Hat approved, and SanDisk flash-accelerated solution that delivers extreme performance, boundless scale, efficiency, and resiliency for Ceph and OpenStack environments. In this webinar Brent Compton of Red Hat and Venkat Kolli of SanDisk will discuss:
•Challenges faced within cloud environments
•Benefits of Red Hat Ceph for file, block and object storage
•Benefits of Running Ceph on the InfiniFlash™ System
•Configuration and use-cases
Don't let limitations stop you, and imagine the impossible today. To petabytes and beyond!
Ingesting and extracting data from Hadoop can be a frustrating, time consuming activity for many enterprises. DataTorrent Data Ingestion is a standalone big data application that simplifies the collection, aggregation and movement of large amounts of data to and from Hadoop for a more efficient data processing pipeline. DataTorrent Data
Ingestion makes configuring and running Hadoop data ingestion and data extraction a point and click process enabling a smooth, easy path to your Hadoop-based big data project.