The US-China Trade War: Will Everyone Be Worse Off?

Agenda: How bad are things now? - To what extent are the barriers that have already been erected by the United States and China damaging trade between the two countries? - What is the likely impact on GDP? - Is the trade war already hurting other economies? Winners and losers - In the long-run, can either China or the US expect to gain economically from a trade war? Or is it a lose-lose proposition for both economies? - What about the longer-term impact on other economies, especially those in Asia? Which countries will lose the most from the trade war? Will countries stand to benefit? - What policies do the China and the US need to put in place to minimise the impact on their domestic markets? How much has China’s move towards a consumption-led economy softened the blow? How bad can things get? - How much further will the trade war escalate? Are there areas of potential cooperation where the two sides could come closer together? - Could non-trade barriers be a future step? - How should other countries, particular in emerging Asia, prepare for a prolonged trade war? Euromoney moderator: Matthew Thomas, Asia Bureau Chief, Euromoney Institutional Investor Speakers include: David Mann, Global Chief Economist, Standard Chartered Wei Li, Senior Economist, China, Standard Chartered Brad Gibson, Portfolio Manager and Co-Head of Asia-Pacific Fixed Income, AllianceBernstein