Only way out is ‘through' : Macroeconomic outlook for Middle East & Pakistan
We invite you to join our live discussion to hear more about the Global Focus and the currency market The session will be conducted by our Middle East & Turkey Research team and Regional Head, FX Trading, MENAP to cover Growth and Fiscal outlook for the region and the impact on COVID-19 on MENAP.
RecordedJun 3 202063 mins
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Moderator: • Matthew Thomas, Asia Bureau Chief, Euromoney Speakers: • David Mann, Global Chief Economist, Standard Chartered
As 2019 draws to a close, what might the coming year bring for those with an interest in financial markets? We will discuss four of the major questions that will need answering in 2020.
Trade war: the beginning of the end?
• What will a ‘phase one’ trade deal mean for China and the United States?
• How will it impact Vietnam, Taiwan and other countries that have been forced to navigate trade tensions between the two countries?
• How confident should investors be in a deal? What are the chances that all of the recent tariffs get rolled back?
US outlook: When America sneezes
• What is the outlook for the US economy and, by extension, for the Fed Funds rate? How will that impact Asian economies and markets?
• How worried should investors be about the US election next year? Will markets react differently to a Democratic Party win than a Republican Party win? What is the best result for the asset markets?
China outlook: keeping the growth dream alive
• China’s government is committed to doubling the size of the country’s GDP between 2010 and 2020. Is this ambition on track? What steps is the government taking to ensure it will happen?
• What should investors expect from China’s markets over the coming year? Where will the USD/CNY rate go?
What's next for Asia?
• How have Asian economies endured the uncertainty of the trade war? Which economies show the most promise in the coming?
• Which Asian asset markets are most attractive to investors at the moment? What are the biggest risk factors to be aware of?
Anurag Bajaj, Standard Chartered | Alastair Thompson, G+D Mobile Security | Rupert Nicolay, Microsoft | Adrian Smyth, RBS
The payments world and that of Payment Market Infrastructures (PMIs) have been shaken up with the rise of FinTech startups that challenge the traditional systems and also the changing needs of customers to have more flexible offerings.
Join this panel to learn:
-Payment trends in 2020 and beyond
-The effects of regulations on the industry
-What is the new norm for international payments?
-How business intelligence and analytics can support and improve the payments journey for your business
-The future of cross-border payments"
Alastair Thompson, Business Development and Payment Expert, G+D Mobile Security
Rupert Nicolay, Worldwide Services Architect - Financial Services, Microsoft
Adrian Smyth, Head of Innovation & Strategic Initiatives - Services, Payments, Royal Bank of Scotland
Anurag Bajaj, Managing Director, Regional Head of Transaction Banking, Americas, Global Head of Correspondent Banking, Standard Chartered Bank
Rowan Austin, NatWest | Rebecca Harding | Enno-Burghard Weitzel, Commerzbank | Michael Sugirin, Standard Chartered
When it comes to cross-border transactions, the shift to a digital landscape and infrastructure is a common challenge. The demand for clearinghouses, the rising competitive landscape, and the increasing need for new technology will no doubt impact the trade finance landscape.
Join this panel to learn:
-How can emerging technologies like blockchain be used to transform the future of trade finance?
-How can global and regional banks better collaborate to create a more efficient ecosystem?
-What are the interoperability challenges that arise, especially with regards to global supply chains?
Rebecca Harding, Independent Economist
Rowan Austin, Head of Trade Origination ＆ Advisory, NatWest
Enno-Burghard Weitzel, Head of Product Management Trade Services, Commerzbank
Michael Sugirin, Global Head, Open Account Trade, Ecosystem & Trade Implementation,
Transaction Banking, Standard Chartered
Michael Sugirin, Transaction Banking, Standard Chartered
Join this exclusive interactive 1-2-1 interview with Michael Sugirin, Transaction Banking, Standard Chartered. Some questions to be tackled;
- Technology has made a huge impact on banking and on physical supply chains in recent years. What do you see as the key trends in the short to medium term and how will they impact supply chain financing?
- What role does Standard Chartered play in the transformation of global supply chains?
- How will digital transformation of the supply chain make the industry more sustainable?
- Who is leading the charge to adopt new technology and applications in trade? Fintech, Bigtech, Banks, Clients, Regulators?
Michael Sugirin, Global Head, Open Account Trade, Ecosystem & Trade Implementation, Transaction Banking, Standard Chartered
Moderated by - Paige Azevedo, Community Lead, BrightTALK
Discussion around digital assets is taking the industry by storm and growing at an unprecedented pace. But as the world embraces the next iterations of technology in banking and capital markets, questions arise. Do we have clear definitions and understandings of these digital assets? How do differing definitions by regulators lead to challenges and conflicts? Have we accounted for the different risks that this technology brings about? Our webinar will find out.
This discussion will cover the following topics:
Understanding digital assets
- The world of digital assets lacks clear definition, and too often people’s minds jump to Bitcoin or the like. So what are we talking about when we say “digital assets”?
- What are asset backed tokens and how can we use them? How should we understand the benefits of tokenization?
- How does differing risk appetite globally change the understanding of and demand for digital assets?
- Regulators are often stymied by new products that don’t fit nicely into traditional buckets. How are regulators looking at digital assets? How does this differ by country?
- How does the regulators’ understanding of digital assets challenge new participants?
- Where are the gaps in regulations?
Challenges and looking forward
- There are still limitations in the underlying technology that supports digital assets that pose challenges. How do we remedy this?
- Looking at the example of distributed ledger technology, how do we understand the potential while balancing the flaws and challenges of the technology?
- What risks do digital assets pose? How do the risks balance with the benefits of digitalization?
- What potentials of the use of digital assets are not yet being realized?
Morgan Davis, Reporter, GlobalCapital
Ryan Cuthbertson, Head, Product Management, Securities Services, Standard Chartered
Glen Fernandes, Group Strategy, Euroclear
Sean Sarginson, Global Head of Innovation, SWIFT
Euromoney moderator: Matthew Thomas, Asia Bureau Chief, Euromoney Institutional Investor Speakers: David Mann, Global Chief
The trade war between the United States and China reignited in May, when the US government increased tariffs on Chinese goods and began to target individual companies. With so much uncertainty about the possible economic outcomes, Euromoney's latest webinar drew on two of Standard Chartered's experts on the subject to find out which sectors are most exposed and ask: is anywhere safe for global investors?
After multiple rounds of trade talks and indications of a deal from both sides, the trade war between the US and China is back on. It’s sensible to ask, is the targeting of Chinese companies through the Entity List just a bargaining chip in the wider negotiation and if so, will such hardball actually bring Chinese negotiators to the table?
Who is in the line of fire?
As one of our experts comments, anyone who has confidence of what to come is fooling themselves. Risk planners, treasurers and business owners are all wondering: who is most exposed to the trade war? How are they adjusting their business models to reduce their exposure? Where might there be dangerous links in supply chains? Which sectors have less flexibility – and do they have any way to hedge their risks?
During this webinar we try to answer those questions while considering the disruption of global supply chains by this trade war, the dramatic influence of sentiment on the markets and how CFOs and treasurers can gather the right information to plot sensible courses for their businesses at a time when no deal seems truly stable.
As another year begins, there are risks to the global economy around every turn. The on-off trade war between the US and China is weakening sentiment, protracted Brexit negotiations are fuelling uncertainty, and rising rates in the US are sending emerging market currencies spiralling.
Are we on the cusp of a major slowdown in global growth, or on the brink of positive disruption? David Mann, Standard Chartered’s global chief economist, tells Euromoney he is optimistic.
•How long will the easing of trade tensions between the US and China last? Will the trade war start again soon?
•Are trade tensions damaging global growth?
•How much is Brexit impacting confidence in the UK and eurozone economies?
•Are changing demographics the biggest long-term threat for developed economies?
•Which economies will out-perform in 2019?
Euromoney moderator: Matthew Thomas, Asia Bureau Chief, Euromoney Institutional Investor Speakers include: David Mann, Globa
How bad are things now?
- To what extent are the barriers that have already been erected by the United States and China damaging trade between the two countries?
- What is the likely impact on GDP?
- Is the trade war already hurting other economies?
Winners and losers
- In the long-run, can either China or the US expect to gain economically from a trade war? Or is it a lose-lose proposition for both economies?
- What about the longer-term impact on other economies, especially those in Asia? Which countries will lose the most from the trade war? Will countries stand to benefit?
- What policies do the China and the US need to put in place to minimise the impact on their domestic markets? How much has China’s move towards a consumption-led economy softened the blow?
How bad can things get?
- How much further will the trade war escalate? Are there areas of potential cooperation where the two sides could come closer together?
- Could non-trade barriers be a future step?
- How should other countries, particular in emerging Asia, prepare for a prolonged trade war?
Euromoney moderator: Matthew Thomas, Asia Bureau Chief, Euromoney Institutional Investor Speakers: Margaret Harwood-Jones, G
Just the beginning: How much room is there for disruption in securities services?
Securities services and post-trade settlement should be ripe for disruption, but there are high barriers to entry for fintech start-ups. How much room is there for disruption in the post-trade lifecycle? Where will innovation come from? What are the best examples in securities services?
More than cryptos: What is the role of blockchain in securities services?
Blockchain is a secure and efficient ledger technology – but it is too often identified entirely with the boom and bust of cryptocurrencies. What role can blockchain play in the securities services business? What specific advantages can blockchain offer in the securities services business? Can private blockchains offer the same advantages as public chains to banks and their customers? Are there risks with this approach?
Embracing change: How can firms pull off the cultural shift?
It is now commonplace for banks, funds and other firms to talk about the importance of innovation and disruption, but to what extent does innovation remain a sideshow for the real decision makers? Do many employees still fear disruption? Should they? How can firms pull off the cultural shift needed to ensure that everyone — from the bottom to the top of an organisation — embraces innovation?
Euromoney Moderator: Matthew Thomas, Asia Bureau Chief, Euromoney Institutional Investor
Know your (cyber) enemy
Technology advancements have changed the way financial services operate, but they have also ushered in new challenges and threats.
What are the risks, how big are they and what is the impact? Eg. Data theft versus system shut downs – which has a greater economic threat?
When financial services are attacked…
Cyber criminals have exposed vulnerabilities of financial institutions to disturbing effect. Is it more effective for banks to counter cyber risks on their own, or collectively as an industry? Would it help to have a central regulator for bank cyber security? When assessing counterparty risks, how much weightage is placed on their cyber security controls?
Responding to the cyber challenge – how financial services can best prepare
The establishment of regulatory controls and standards can only go so far, and the industry itself need to do much more to improve the situation – getting the basics right in a legacy environment, sharing best practices, building a security-based culture etc…
Looking ahead: Anticipating paradigm shifts
How much closer are we to creating ‘unhackable’ systems? Can quantum computing or other technologies present a cost-efficient solution?
Matthew Thomas, Asia Bureau Chief, Euromoney Institutional Investor
- Margaret Harwood-Jones, Global Head of Securities Services, Standard Chartered
- Cheri F. McGuire, Group Chief Information Security Officer, Standard Chartered
- Patrick Wheeler, Director, Cyberwayfinder
- Paul Jackson, Head of Asia-Pacific Cyber Security & Investigations Practice, Kroll
- The rise in SDLs issuance: Deteriorating finances and shift in sources of financing
- How stressed is FY18 fiscal health amidst farm loan waivers, salary revisions, interest burden and GST?
- Not all states finances are equal
- SDL yields: Disconnected with fundamentals. Why?
- Policy changes: The need of the hour
- Is the INR overvalued?
Rashmi Kumar, Editor, GlobalCapital Asia
Standard Chartered Bank Speakers:
- Anubhuti Sahay, Head, South Asia Economic Research (India)
- Nagaraj Kulkarni, Senior Asia Rates Strategist
- Divya Devesh, Asia FX Strategist
* An overview of developments in the Chinese economy and capital markets
* The RMB Investors Forum outlined — a unique perspective on international investors’ role in Chinese capital markets
* Attitudes to investing in China after a challenging year; what the survey shows
* The evolution of market access models: new channels and uptake
* The role of HKEX in opening market access and the ‘connect’ model
* Accessing mainland capital markets —equities, bonds, loans
Participation of international investors — current status, future trends
* What are the missing pieces —the role of regulation, what reforms are needed?
* Prospects for China —Moody’s rating downgrade, how big is the debt issue? Economic outlook, stock and bond market opportunities
Andrew Capon, Contributor, Euromoney
Barnaby Nelson, Regional Head of Securities Services, Greater China and North East Asia, Standard Chartered Bank
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Only way out is ‘through' : Macroeconomic outlook for Middle East & PakistanCarla Slim, Bilal Khan, Mazen Barbir, Mohamed Salama & Rajat Kumar[[ webcastStartDate * 1000 | amDateFormat: 'MMM D YYYY h:mm a' ]]62 mins