Forecasts with Uncertainty Webinar Series 4: Production Forecasts with Risk

Presented by

Rafael Hartke

About this talk

How to quantify and forecast the uncertainty of production forecasts? On this fourth webinar of the Forecasts with Uncertainty Webinar Series we will present how to understand and measure the uncertainty around production curves. We will use historical data of the production curve itself and of its components to estimate forecast models and to simulate future scenarios using probability distributions, time series models and regression models. We'll also offer some practical insights on how to explore and reshape the data so we can fit better models and create more realistic forecasts.
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