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How Investors Can Prepare For and Hedge ‘Black Swan’ Risks.

The Global Economy at the beginning of this year was hit by arguably two black swan events. The collapse of OPEC-Russia cooperation on oil production has triggered a financial market shock. This event was however dwarfed by a coronavirus-induced growth shock on an unprecedented scale. Theoretically, we should have been prepared.

We live in an era of rapidly changing global landscapes and local environments. Viruses with RNA as their genetic material can quickly adapt to and exploit these varying conditions” – This and similar quotes, which were warning us even more explicitly about a potential pandemic, we could have read in books published already five or even 10 years ago. And indeed the risk – the “spread of infectious diseases” - featured as second on the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk by impact register in 2015. Yet, just a year later it went down to 8th position and has featured even lower than that (in 10th place) in the last 3 years. 'Climate action failure' and 'weapons of mass distraction' risks took over the prominent positions on the risk register.

But how are companies preparing for and hedging against low probability, high impact risks?

Should black swans events be hedged against or is this an ‘opportunity’ to re-design business models?

Can these risks be hedged and/or insured? At what cost (if at all)?

Who ‘owns’ these risks in the organisation and how can Boards add the most value?

Are issues like Climate Preparedness put aside or are they take on a new meaning?



These and many more aspects we will be discussing with our excellent panel:

Andrew Gates – CEO – Macquarie Bank Europe
Ioannis Ioannou – Associate Professor of Strategy and Entrepreneurship – London Business School
John Coley – Head of Risk Consulting Practice for EMEA – Norton Rose Fulbright
Nazim Osmancik – Chief Risk Officer, Energy Trading - Centrica
Moderated by Dana Hanby – Managing Director – ESG Nexus
Recorded May 21 2020 60 mins
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Presented by
Dana Hanby | John Coley | Ioannis Ioannou | Andrew Gates | Nazim Osmancik
Presentation preview: How Investors Can Prepare For and Hedge ‘Black Swan’ Risks.

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  • Channel
  • Channel profile
  • ESG Integration - focus on Hedge Funds and Wealth Management Recorded: Apr 13 2021 64 mins
    Dana Hanby ; Andrea Marmolejo ; Emma Foden-Pattison ; Vlad Mitroi, Greg Davies
    Integration of the Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) issues and ESG disclosure are getting at the forefront of European and global regulatory efforts, aiming at redirection of capital flows towards a more sustainable economy. New standards and frameworks for issuers and investors make portfolio management an increasingly complex task. Strategies and investment products differ, and not all Financial Institutions are using the same tools to target ESG issues at companies. Hedge Funds and Wealth Managers are not always part of the debate, despite their unique positioning and the value they can deliver when adopting ESG in their investment processes.

    - What are approaches that Hedge Funds and Wealth Managers take in ESG integration?
    - Does the unique institutional setup of Wealth Managers make the meaningful contribution to the critical sustainability debate more or less challenging?
    - How can a Fixed Income Hedge Fund integrate ESG?
    - Can we expect bad ESG performers to be shorted?
    - What tools Wealth Managers deploy, and what can we learn from this?

    These and many other questions will be discussed by our excellent panel:
    Andrea Marmolejo - Managing Director - Blue Topaz Capital
    Emma Foden-Pattison - Chartered Investment Manager - Charles Stanley & Co.
    Vlad Mitroi, CFA - Head of ESG - Chenavari Investment Managers
    Dr Greg Davies - Behavioural Finance - Oxford Risk
    Moderated by Dana Hanby - Managing Director - ESG Nexus
  • Collocation? Flexibility? – what are the drivers of investment in batteries? Recorded: Mar 25 2021 61 mins
    Dana Hanby , Adrian Barnes, Gautam Kalghatgi, Stefan Ulreich, Susann Funke
    Increasing commitment to ‘Net Zero’ by 2050 calls for acceleration in the deployment of renewables and manufacturing of electric vehicles. Wind and solar capacity, however, does not provide the flexibility required for optimal functioning of the European energy market. It’s not surprising, therefore, that discussion about investment in batteries – as the only scalable, low carbon flexibility solution - dominates the market. But is the system requirement for flexibility enough to make an investment in batteries attractive?
    - What is the role of policy?
    - How renewable portfolios can drive investment in batteries?
    - What are the key challenges for battery valuation?
    - What risks investors are taking?
    These and many other questions will be discussed by our excellent panel:
    Adrian Barnes - Senior Manager, Green Transition, Green Investment Group
    Gautam Kalghatgi - Visiting Professor - University of Oxford
    Dr Stefan Ulreich - Professor - Bilberach University of Applied Science
    Dr Susann Funke - Managing Director and Lawyer - Funke Advisory
    Moderated by Dana Hanby - Managing Director - ESG Nexus
    Gautam Kalghatgi - Visiting Professor, University of Oxford
  • Impact Investment - Finance vs. Implementation Recorded: Mar 11 2021 62 mins
    Dana Hanby; Jim Totty; Boris Kamstra
    Surveys of investors have shown a great interest in Impact Investing and in putting money behind the companies that make a positive difference to the world. Even though the size of the global impact investing market is growing – at about US $700bn – it is still considerably smaller than the inflow of capital into other sustainability-focused strategies.
    - Can we expect an acceleration in scaling up of Impact Investment and what are the key challenges to achieve it?
    - How are Impact Investments selected and where are they located?
    - Does a wide range of bespoke approaches to impact measurement serve the industry well or do we need standardization and do methodologies such as the IFC’s Impact Management Framework and the Impact Management Project help achieve this?
    - How easy is it to compare portfolios? - What level of returns are Impact Investors looking to achieve benchmarked against general market returns?
    - What type of investors are interested in Impact Investing and do their expectations differ?
    - Are Impact investment strategies working at the Implementation point?
    These and many more questions we will be discussing with our excellent panel:
    Jim Totty – Managing Director – Viridis Capital (Private Equity)
    Boris Kamstra – Executive Director – Alphamin Resources PLC
    Moderated by Dana Hanby – Managing Director – ESG Nexus
  • “Towards a New Model of Corporate Leadership?” Recorded: Mar 2 2021 47 mins
    Dana Hanby ; Ioannis Ioannou
    A conversation with Ioannis Ioannou
    Professor of Strategy and Entrepreneurship
    at London Business School (LBS)
    conducted by Dana Hanby


    The crisis has pushed people to accomplish what was previously thought impossible in such a short space of time – moving thousands of office workers to working from home; changing manufacturing lines from making deodorants or perfumes to making hand sanitisers and many others. The interconnectedness of all stakeholders – including governments, suppliers, employees – was brought to the fore asking for the re-consideration of shareholders’ dominance. Arguably, these messages should not be new to ESG.

    - but can we expect a shift in the Boards’ Leadership?
    - Will ESG Integration accelerate?

    These and many other questions will be discussed with Professor Ioannis Ioannou - a Professor and Advisor on Sustainability Leadership and Corporate Responsibility. Through his academic work, advisory roles, teaching, and engagement with executives, he seeks to understand and explore whether, how and the extent to which companies and capital markets can lead on the path towards a sustainable future. He graduated magna cum laude from Yale University, majoring in Economics and Mathematics and holds a Ph.D. in Business Economics from Harvard University and the Harvard Business School. He is currently an Associate Professor with tenure at London Business School. Prof. Ioannou regularly publishes in top-tier peer-reviewed academic journals and due to the popularity and impact of his research, he regularly ranks in the top 100 authors on the social science research network (SSRN). Among other advisory roles, Ioannis is a member of the ESG Advisory Board of the DWS Group, and a member of the World Economic Forum Experts Network. He is also a frequent contributor to articles in the popular and managerial press including outlets such as the Financial Times, Bloomberg, The Guardian, BBC, and Forbes, among others.
  • How Investors Can Prepare For and Hedge ‘Black Swan’ Risks. Recorded: May 21 2020 60 mins
    Dana Hanby | John Coley | Ioannis Ioannou | Andrew Gates | Nazim Osmancik
    The Global Economy at the beginning of this year was hit by arguably two black swan events. The collapse of OPEC-Russia cooperation on oil production has triggered a financial market shock. This event was however dwarfed by a coronavirus-induced growth shock on an unprecedented scale. Theoretically, we should have been prepared.

    We live in an era of rapidly changing global landscapes and local environments. Viruses with RNA as their genetic material can quickly adapt to and exploit these varying conditions” – This and similar quotes, which were warning us even more explicitly about a potential pandemic, we could have read in books published already five or even 10 years ago. And indeed the risk – the “spread of infectious diseases” - featured as second on the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk by impact register in 2015. Yet, just a year later it went down to 8th position and has featured even lower than that (in 10th place) in the last 3 years. 'Climate action failure' and 'weapons of mass distraction' risks took over the prominent positions on the risk register.

    But how are companies preparing for and hedging against low probability, high impact risks?

    Should black swans events be hedged against or is this an ‘opportunity’ to re-design business models?

    Can these risks be hedged and/or insured? At what cost (if at all)?

    Who ‘owns’ these risks in the organisation and how can Boards add the most value?

    Are issues like Climate Preparedness put aside or are they take on a new meaning?



    These and many more aspects we will be discussing with our excellent panel:

    Andrew Gates – CEO – Macquarie Bank Europe
    Ioannis Ioannou – Associate Professor of Strategy and Entrepreneurship – London Business School
    John Coley – Head of Risk Consulting Practice for EMEA – Norton Rose Fulbright
    Nazim Osmancik – Chief Risk Officer, Energy Trading - Centrica
    Moderated by Dana Hanby – Managing Director – ESG Nexus
Live webcasts for Sustainable Finance professionals
Debates with the industry leaders that allow to share best practice, exchange opinions, discuss future trends, key challenges and solutions. Please join the conversation. (contact www.esgnexus.com/contact)

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  • Title: How Investors Can Prepare For and Hedge ‘Black Swan’ Risks.
  • Live at: May 21 2020 2:00 pm
  • Presented by: Dana Hanby | John Coley | Ioannis Ioannou | Andrew Gates | Nazim Osmancik
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