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The Risk Report: Analysis Reveals 6 Common Drivers of Unexpected Results

The number one question when portfolios don’t deliver outcomes as expected is ‘why?’ Over the past four years, Northern Trust Asset Management has individually partnered with institutional investors and consultants around the globe to help answer that very question. After examining more than 200 portfolios and 1,000 investment strategies totaling $200+ billion with a unique quantitative lens, six common drivers across all investor segments emerged.

Join Michael Hunstad, Ph.D., Head of Quantitative Strategies, as he provides new insights gained from The Risk Report.

Discussion includes:

• Magnitude of uncompensated risks diluting excess returns
• New perspective of the “cancelation effect”
• The most common hidden risks with style tilts
• Over diversification - when diversification backfires

This material is directed to eligible counterparties and professional clients only and should not be relied upon by retail investors. The information is not intended for distribution or use by any person in any jurisdiction where such distribution would be contrary to local law or regulation. Northern Trust and its affiliates may have positions in and may effect transactions in the markets, contracts and related investments different than described in this information.

Investing involves risk- no investment strategy or risk management technique can guarantee returns or eliminate risk in any market environment. Simulated past performance and actual past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Northern Trust Asset Management is composed of Northern Trust Investments, Inc Northern Trust Global Investments Ltd, Northern Trust Fund Managers (Ireland) Ltd, Northern Trust Global Investments Japan, K.K, NT Global Advisors Inc, 50 South Capital Advisors, LLC and investment personnel of The Northern Trust Company of Hong Kong Ltd, Belvedere Advisors LLC and The Northern Trust Company.

©2020 Northern Trust Corporation: 50 South La Salle Street, Chicago, IL 60603 USA
Recorded Nov 10 2020 69 mins
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Presented by
Michael Hunstad, Ph.D., Head of Quantitative Strategies, Northern Trust Asset Management | Brendan Maton, IPE
Presentation preview: The Risk Report: Analysis Reveals 6 Common Drivers of Unexpected Results

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  • Shining a light on climate leaders and laggards Oct 26 2021 1:00 pm UTC 60 mins
    Meggin Thwing Eastman, Global ESG Editorial Director, MSCI | Guido Giese, Head ESG and Climate Solutions Research, MSCI
    The world’s publicly listed companies are running out of time to reach net-zero. Listed companies have less than six years to avoid breaching a key global-warming threshold unless they dramatically drive down emissions of carbon and other greenhouse gases, according to the latest Net-Zero Tracker, a quarterly report from MSCI.

    Companies must dramatically accelerate climate action to keep global warming this century to no more than 1.5°C, the limit scientists say the planet must achieve to avoid the worst impacts of a warming climate.

    Join thought leaders from MSCI ESG Research on October 26 for insights into the progress companies are making toward net-zero and information investors can draw on to inform decision-making. The session will address how investors are:

    • Assessing the progress of listed companies toward global climate goals
    • Measuring the temperature of investments
    • Spotting climate leaders and laggards in every industry
    • Putting portfolios on a net-zero pathway

    The session will also address the need for strong targets and timeframes to reach net-zero.

    - Meggin Thwing Eastman, Global ESG Editorial Director, MSCI
    - Guido Giese, Head ESG and Climate Solutions Research, MSCI

    About MSCI
    We’re on a mission to power better investments for a better world. With more than $14.5 trillion benchmarked to MSCI’s indexes, plus market leadership in ESG data and analytics, MSCI helps investors navigate the transition to net-zero at every stage.

    To learn how MSCI can support your net-zero journey, visit us here >> https://www.msci.com/our-solutions/climate-investing/net-zero-solutions/implied-temperature-rise
  • How to Boost Your ESG Scores and Preserve Your Risk-Reward Results Oct 11 2021 1:00 pm UTC 60 mins
    David Schofield, President, Intech International | Vassilios Papathanakos, PhD, Executive Vice President, Deputy CIO
    Did you know that your choice in ESG implementation can invite steep trade-offs in return, risk, and ESG consistency at the portfolio level? In this webinar, you will find out why. Intech will demonstrate how targeting portfolio-level ESG results while relaxing non-ESG constraints appears to offer investors a more practical way to pursue both stronger and more consistent ESG and risk-reward outcomes. What you’ll see:

    1. Differences between stock- vs. portfolio-driven ESG approaches
    2. Applications of each approach on a non-ESG strategy
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    - Vassilios Papathanakos, PhD, Executive Vice President, Deputy Chief Investment Officer
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    Hear from BlackRock and IHS Markit experts on how to get started with building or transitioning to a sustainable fixed income portfolio.

    – Cara Milton-Edwards, Product Strategist, Fixed Income ETFs, BlackRock
    – Smadar Shulman, Managing Director, Head of Index Product Management EMEA, IHS Markit
  • Lifting the lid on the “S” of ESG: how to build sustainable communities Oct 1 2021 2:00 pm UTC 75 mins
    Mathieu Elshout, PATRIZIA | Marleen Bikker-Bekkers, PATRIZIA | Sarah Forster, the Good Economy Partnership
    Real estate investment managers have a responsibility to build sustainable communities. They are the ones to invest in and create homes, workspaces and leisure facilities for countless people.

    Sometimes we overlook the social pillar of “ESG” – the “S” – on the journey to net zero. Growing pressure to deliver on the environmental targets of the 2050 Paris accord mean the “E” of ESG has often taken centre stage

    However, loneliness, social inequality, poor access to education / healthcare and lacking diversity, are increasingly important topics for governments and urban planners as they seek to mitigate the economic impact of Covid-19.

    So, what role can real estate investment houses play in making a positive contribution in solving these challenges? And how do their clients benefit?

    PATRIZIA has residential real estate in its DNA and has been building communities and sustainable futures since its foundation in 1984.

    In what promises to be a thought provoking discussion, Mathieu Elshout, Head of Sustainability and Impact Investing, and his PATRIZIA colleague, Marleen Bikker-Bekkers, Head of Investments Europe, PGP, who is working on new impact investment products, are joined by Sarah Forster, CEO and Co-Founder of the Good Economy Partnership. Sarah is a leading expert in sustainable economic development with a particular interest in social enterprise, impact measurement and management.

    The panel will address key industry trends in the social impact investing space, consider real life best practice examples and of course address the holy grail of measuring social impact.

    The webcast will give valuable insights and will include the following topics:

    – What is the relevance of social impact for real estate?
    – What examples or case studies of social impact in real estate are there?
    – Why social impact investing must be measurable and how?
    – What returns can social impact investors realistically expect and over what timelines?
  • Emerging Market Equities Expert Panel Recorded: Sep 27 2021 74 mins
    Charles Wilson, Thornburg | Ajay Krishnan, Wasatch | W. Malcolm Dorson, Mirae Asset | Martin Hurst, IPE
    – Thornburg Investment Management: The enduring case for balance in emerging markets
    – Wasatch Global Investors: How the change landscape in semiconductors impacts EMs: the emergence of India
    – Mirae Asset Global Investments: Consumption driven growth and the evolution of EMs

    Charles Wilson - Portfolio Manager and Managing Director, Thornburg Investment Management:
    Charlie Wilson joined Thornburg Investment Management in 2012 as associate portfolio manager and was promoted to portfolio manager in 2014. Prior to joining Thornburg, Charlie served as co-portfolio manager for Marsico Capital Management in Denver, Colorado. He was responsible for portfolio investments across multiple strategies and geographies, with specialization in materials, energy, technology, and payments sectors.

    Ajay Krishnan, CFA - Portfolio Manager, Wasatch Global Investors:
    Ajay Krishnan joined Wasatch Global Investors in 1994 and serves on the board of directors. He is also a portfolio Manager, the head of emerging markets investing and a member of the global research team.

    W. Malcolm Dorson - Senior Portfolio Manager, Mirae Asset Global Investments:
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  • Crash-risk controlled equities: Risk Management = Opportunity Management? Recorded: Sep 23 2021 59 mins
    Dr. Julius Agnesens, Head of Investment Solutions, Finreon AG | Simon T. Müller is Head of Business Development, Finreon AG
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    Finreon is a Spin-Off from the University of St.Gallen (HSG). In this webinar, Dr. Julius Agnesens, Head of Investment Solutions & Member of the Executive Board will present the Finreon Tail Risk Control® methodology to profit from equity market opportunities while substantially reducing crash risks:

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    Join us in discussing the following topics:

    - Why is the management of equity risks of more importance than in the past?
    - What is the difference between “good” and “bad” risks?
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    - How can a tail risk management strategy be implemented?
  • Understanding trade-offs between risk-return and carbon Recorded: Sep 22 2021 64 mins
    Gwen Busby, PhD, Nuveen | Cristina Hastings Newsome, Westchester | Derek Jun, CFA, CAIA, Nuveen
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    Many organisations are reviewing or setting net zero targets for their investment portfolios. Join our team as we outline Nuveen’s quantitative approach to optimizing carbon exposure within a portfolio. We will highlight the ability of real assets, such as timberland and farmland, to help meet your net zero targets.

    Presented by:
    – Gwen Busby, PhD Director of Economic Research, Nuveen
    – Cristina Hastings Newsome, Head of Sustainability, Westchester
    – Derek Jun, CFA, CAIA, Vice President, Investment Risk Management, Nuveen

    Moderated by: Brendan Maton
  • A net zero carbon pathway: the TIAA General Account’s journey Recorded: Sep 15 2021 64 mins
    Sarah Wilson Managing Director, Nuveen | Emily Wiener, TIAA | Brendan Maton
    Net zero carbon is a clear destination, but the journey is full of many known and unknown variables.

    Emily Wiener from TIAA and Nuveen’s Sarah Wilson discuss the challenges of treating climate change risk as an investment risk.

    From the strategic decisions to the tactical considerations, they will share their insights including:

    · Effective communications between the investment committee and board
    · Implementation challenges when investing in a diverse range of asset classes
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    · Solving data quality issues to improve reporting and decision-making
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    Presented by:
    – Sarah Wilson Managing Director, Head of ESG Integration, Nuveen
    – Emily Wiener, Managing Director, Head of Fixed Income for the General Account, TIAA
  • Turning Talk into Action: From Net-Zero Ambition to Execution Recorded: Sep 9 2021 63 mins
    Thomas Tayler, Rick Stathers & Stanley Kwong, Aviva Investors
    How will you deliver your climate ambitions? Net-zero commitments are increasingly commonplace, but with the science developing at pace, what is best practice in implementing your goals?

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    – Thomas Tayler, Senior manager at Aviva Investors’ Sustainable Finance Centre for Excellence
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    – Stanley Kwong, ESG Associate Director, Real Assets
  • Aligning your real estate portfolio with a net-zero economy Recorded: Sep 8 2021 54 mins
    Marion de Marcillac, MSCI | Will Robson, MSCI
    2021 is a critical year for climate action as we head toward the UN Climate Change Conference (COP26) in November. As businesses, investors and governments explore the transition to a net-zero world, measuring and managing climate risk has become an ever-more important tenet of the institutional investment process. Real estate investors need to look at how they are considering this transition across the investment process from due diligence to portfolio management as well as performance and reporting.

    In this webinar Marion de Marcillac will look at what we really mean by a ‘net-zero’ economy and share how companies and investors across asset classes are approaching this.

    Will Robson will then explore the real estate approach to modelling transition and physical risk impact in your portfolio and how these insights can be leveraged in portfolio management and regulatory reporting like Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD).

    • Marion de Marcillac - Executive Director, Head of Climate Product, MSCI
    • Will Robson - Executive Director, Global Head of Real Estate Solutions Research, MSCI
  • How to reconcile financial performance and ESG? Recorded: Aug 18 2021 68 mins
    Erik Christiansen, Scientific Beta | Eric Shirbini, Scientific Beta
    – ESG investment strategies are often marketed with claims that ESG can be a source of financial outperformance in terms of risk-adjusted returns.
    – In this webinar we will look into these claims and analyse whether alpha subsists once the drivers of financial performance of ESG and low carbon strategies are properly accounted for.
    – We will also discuss the best way – filtering or optimisation techniques – to combine ESG and climate goals with the two well-grounded sources of financial added value, exposure to rewarded factors and diversification of idiosyncratic risk.

    – Erik Christiansen, ESG & Low Carbon Investment Specialist, Scientific Beta
    – Eric Shirbini, PhD, Global Research and Investment Solutions Director, Scientific Beta

    Moderated by:
    – Brendan Maton, IPE
  • Rise of the social pillar of ESG and implementation in passive portfolios Recorded: Aug 4 2021 50 mins
    Sebastian Schiele, Head of Passive Mandates Sales EMEA & APAC, DWS | Prof. Amin Rajan, CEO, CREATE-Research
    The ‘S’ pillar of environmental, social and corporate governance (ESG) is becoming an increasingly important driver of investment decision-making, especially in light of the Covid-19 crisis. As politicians and policy makers across the world aim to ‘build back better’, we as an investment community need to take the time to fully understand the social part of ESG. We live in an age where the politics of inequality and ‘social justice’ cannot be seen as external to the investment process.

    Against this backdrop, Sebastian Schiele, Head of Passive Mandates Sales EMEA & APAC at DWS and Prof. Amin Rajan, CEO Create Research will discuss the findings of the Passive Investing Report 2021: Rise of the social pillar of ESG. 142 pension plans in 17 jurisdictions with collective assets under management of EUR 2.1 trillion have been surveyed. Their insights are a useful barometer of broader changes that will ultimately trickle down to all parts of the investment market.

    The webcast will give valuable insights of the survey and will address the following topics:

    • How and why has Covid-19 brought social risk to the front and center of investor portfolios?
    • How are pension investors investing in the social pillar via their passive funds?
    • What benefits are being targeted by pension investors when investing in the ‘S’ pillar and how have social-related passive funds done during and after the 2020 crash?
    • Looking over the next 3-5 years, how are pension investors’ allocations to social-related passive funds likely to change? And what tracking error do they target?
  • Global factor performance & behaviour in Q2: Key divergences - cause and effect Recorded: Jul 21 2021 59 mins
    Marlies van Boven, FTSE Russell | Mark Barnes, FTSE Russell
    Join FTSE Russell’s Global Investment Research team for their quarterly “Global Factor Performance and Insight” webinar.

    During the session, our presenters will provide valuable insights on factor behaviour and valuations, and answer the following questions:

    – Why have we seen a significant global divergence in factor performance compared to the first quarter?
    – How has factor behaviour differed across regions in 2021?
    – What is the impact of regional differences during COVID surges ?
    – How has factor exposure of Momentum changed?
    – What is the correlation between the economic outlook and factor performance?
  • Positioning Your Equity Portfolio to Benefit from Rising Inflation Recorded: Jul 8 2021 71 mins
    Felix Goltz, PhD, Research Director | Eric Shirbini, PhD, Global Research and Investment Solutions Director, Scientific Beta
    As the economy opens up and stimulus spending commences, the market is concerned about inflation fears. Using TIPS to aim for full hedging of inflation would have a high opportunity cost, especially with negative interest rates. Instead, investors can turn to their performance-seeking portfolio for long-run inflation protection. Equities are a natural candidate for this, since unlike commodities, they offer a positive long-term risk premium.

    Currently, there are no passive equity products that provide exposure to macroeconomic risks such as inflation in a systematic fashion. We aim to fill this gap by developing indices for targeted macroeconomic exposure.

    In this webinar, we present our equity inflation indices, the first in a series of targeted macroeconomic factor indices from Scientific Beta. The objective of these indices is to provide long-term equity performance with additional inflation protection compared to a traditional cap-weighted index. As a result, these indices are ideal candidates to replace cap-weight indices for investors with inflation fears and as equity components of a multi-asset portfolio that requires insulation against inflation shocks.

    During this webinar we will cover the following topics:

    – Reliable measurement of macroeconomic exposure (role of robust statistics and forward-looking information)
    – Equity portfolios dedicated to inflation lead to stronger targeted inflation-surprise exposures compared to a factor or sector allocation approach
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    – Comparison of the conditional performance of equity inflation strategies with that of other asset classes

    Felix Goltz, PhD, Research Director, Scientific Beta
    Eric Shirbini, PhD, Global Research and Investment Solutions Director, Scientific Beta

    Moderated by Brendan Maton, IPE
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    Jessica Zarzycki, CFA, Co-Portfolio Manager, Nuveen
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    • The increasing opportunities in social and environmental bonds
    • How a rigorous investment approach can achieve impact outcomes without sacrificing financial returns
    • How to meet the challenges of accountability with relevant and transparent reporting
    • Case studies, including participation in the world’s first sovereign blue bond
  • Optimal impact: How to deliver impact goals and financial returns Recorded: Jun 22 2021 69 mins
    Amanda Kizer, Nuveen | Allison Spector, Nuveen | Mike McCreless, Impact Frontiers
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    – Aligning to impact themes that will play to the investor’s strength
    – Selecting an effective impact measurement and management framework
    – Quantifying impact to improve investment decisions and portfolio construction

    Presented by:
    Amanda Kizer, Director, Responsible Investing, Nuveen
    Allison Spector, Director, Responsible Investment, Real Assets & Private Markets, Nuveen
    Mike McCreless, Founder and Executive Director, Impact Frontiers

    Moderator: Brendan Maton, IPE
  • Operational Risk Management: Empowering Strategic Decision Making and Oversight Recorded: Jun 16 2021 63 mins
    Frans Hofkens, Northern Trust | Vincent Molino, Northern Trust Front Office Solutions
    As has been evident from the global financial crisis, successful risk management stands or falls with good governance and the right culture within an organisation. The outcomes of decisions, especially in the long-term, are by definition uncertain and necessitate a careful and balanced decision-making process as the basis for making future-proofed choices.

    Join our webcast with Northern Trust in exploring how Operational Due Diligence (ODD) and Operational Risk Management (ORM) play an essential part in a pension fund’s risk management strategy – from the decision making process when appointing a third party asset manager through to continued monitoring of outsourced services.

    The webcast will cover:

    • An integrated risk management framework and the management of non-financial risk
    • Key trends and industry best practices - including insights from the Netherlands where the Pension Act obliges Dutch pension funds to conduct and demonstrate controlled and ethical business operations
    • How ORM and ODD help from the outset and throughout a period of outsourcing

    Presented by:
    Frans Hofkens, Client Executive, Institutional Investor Group, Netherlands, Northern Trust
    Vincent Molino, Head of Operational Risk Management Solutions, Northern Trust Front Office Solutions

    Moderated by: Brendan Maton, IPE
  • Everything you always wanted to know about infrastructure investing Recorded: Jun 14 2021 87 mins
    Frederic Blanc-Brude, Director of EDHECinfra, CEO of Scientific Infra Pte Ltd | Brendan Maton, IPE
    Real assets are a vital part of a diversified portfolio for many investors, particularly traditional equities and bonds in a high-valuation, low-yield environment. Join us for a conversation about the infrastructure asset class and the potential it offers to institutional investors.

    The webcast will cover:

    – what are the characteristics of infrastructure investments and their cash flows?
    – how risky are these cash flows and how should they be discounted?
    – what is the evolution of expected returns and the costs of capital of private infrastructure?
    – what are the risks of bankruptcy or equity 'wipe-out'?
  • Great expectations in inflation Recorded: Jun 10 2021 65 mins
    Andrew Mulliner, CFA Head of Global Aggregate Strategies, Portfolio Manager | Helen Anthony, CFA Portfolio Manager
    Is inflation a problematic concept in an era where technology dominates? Are we in danger of putting too much emphasis on short-term commodity price moves and overlooking bigger picture inflation drivers such as digitalisation?

    In this topical webcast from Janus Henderson, fixed income managers Andy Mulliner and Helen Anthony will demystify inflation, exploring what it is and what it is not, why it is a challenge to measure accurately and why it can be a headache for central bankers. Highlighting some of the key secular drivers shaping the outlook for inflation from shifting demographics to technological change and global trade, they will explore the outlook for inflation and the risks and opportunities this creates for fixed income investors.
  • The Importance of Institutional Impact Investing: care homes as an illustration Recorded: Jun 9 2021 62 mins
    Michael Toft, Octopus Real Estate | Benjamin Davis, Octopus Real Estate | Tom Morgan, CBRE | Brendan Maton, IPE
    The UK healthcare real estate sector is maturing. Occupational demand is growing owing to an ageing population and rising care needs. Meanwhile an undersupply of high-quality purpose-built accommodation persists.

    The last decade has seen increasing interest in the UK healthcare market from institutional investors attracted by the scope for long dated income, attractive yields and diversification attributes.

    Recent trends among institutions towards impact investing have only served to increase interest. The sector offers investors the opportunity to achieve attractive financial returns while helping solve a key societal challenge – the need for high quality care provision for our elderly population.

    Join us at this educational webinar at 12:30pm on Wednesday 9 June to learn about:

    – ESG and impact considerations of investing in healthcare real estate
    – The market dynamics underpinning healthcare real estate in the UK
    – The factors driving increased demand from institutional investors

    Presented by:
    Michael Toft, Senior Fund Manager of the Octopus Healthcare Fund
    Benjamin Davis, Chief Executive Officer, Octopus Real Estate
    Tom Morgan, Executive Director, Healthcare, Operational real estate, CBRE

    Moderated by; Brendan Maton, IPE
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This webcast channel is for pension funds and other institutional investment professionals in Europe, the USA and Asia. It is particularly relevant for pension fund executives, trustees, consultants and investment managers. IPE will be bringing its community live interviews with leading figures in the market, hosting roundtable discussions on specific topics such as asset allocation and also sharing latest thought-leadership from investment experts.

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  • Title: The Risk Report: Analysis Reveals 6 Common Drivers of Unexpected Results
  • Live at: Nov 10 2020 2:00 pm
  • Presented by: Michael Hunstad, Ph.D., Head of Quantitative Strategies, Northern Trust Asset Management | Brendan Maton, IPE
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