Cautious Optimism for Emerging Market Corporate Debt
Year to date, even despite a year of heightened volatility Emerging Market Corporate Debt has successfully outperformed all other EMD risk assets. Additionally, with a current yield of close to 5.8% on the JPM CEMBI Broad Diversified index, this should still remain attractive to investors within a historically lower rate environment. Exhibiting strong growth rate in the prior years, EM Corporate Debt has continued to entrench itself as a major mainstream fixed income asset class and provides investors a rich source of investment opportunities, within which they can diversify. Trend growth of the asset class is expected to remain as corporate issuance for 2013 is poised to set new record at $335bn. The forecast for 2014 is to remain strong at an estimated $300bn. This provides significant investment opportunities as the hunt for yield endures.
Yet, our outlook remains one of optimistic caution: While EM corporate spreads remain above historical longer term averages, we note modest deteriorations in broader sector fundamentals metrics and forecast that capital appreciation next year could be limited. The primary market will provide ample opportunity for value creation however the margin for error is increasingly becoming smaller. Coupon income is likely to drive returns, however this will need to be finely balanced with an opaque outlook on US policy maker actions. Downside protection and individual name selection should remain the focus of investors wishing to exploit this exciting higher income area.
RecordedDec 4 201329 mins
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In this webcast, Alexandra gives an update on fund performance, current positioning and her outlook for the second half of 2016. In the wake of the UK referendum, she will touch on the recent volatility we have witnessed in equity markets and where she is currently finding opportunities.
As ever, Alexandra looks for companies that are able to generate ‘growth from within’. She believes that growth driven by internal, rather than external, factors naturally allows companies to have greater agency over their future growth potential, and also provides a degree of insulation from broader market moves.
By Friday morning, we should know whether the UK has voted to remain in or leave the EU. As markets digest the result, Paras Anand, Head of European Equities, will share his reaction and consider the investment implications for both the short and long term. Join Paras for this live webcast and pose the questions that matter most to you and your clients.
Market volatility has picked up significantly amid heightened political risk. In this webcast Matt Siddle will outline his views on the market and discuss and how uncertainty is creating opportunities for the long-term investor.
In this live webcast Paras Anand, Head of European Equities at Fidelity International, will provide his outlook on the key drivers of the European equity markets. Today 'political instability' is at the top of most investors’ minds, despite it having a relatively modest impact on the fortunes of investors long-term. Are these concerns perhaps overblown ? Does this mean that the constrained and indebted governments are having to hand over the initiative for to spurring economic growth to the corporate sector ? These are some of the questions Paras will address during the webcast.
FF Global Income celebrated its 3 year anniversary in April. Managed by Peter Khan, this IG-rated global credit fund aims to deliver a high level of income whilst maintaining a positive total return over a full cycle.
Top-quartile performance over key time periods
Distribution yield of 4.4% – 5.1%
Total return of 7.12% (EUR Hedged) since launch
Low correlation to equities of 0.33
In this live webcast Peter will discuss his investment process, his strategy for the fund going forward and his current macro outlook
In this on-demand webcast, Dominic Griffin, Portfolio Manager of the FF American Diversified fund explains his investment philosophy and process, which focuses on quality companies at attractive valuations. Dominic typically invests in businesses that have a strong franchise, a shareholder-oriented management team and an attractive valuation.
this webcast Eugene Philalithis, co-manager of the FF Euro Balanced Fund, will give an update on how the balanced multi asset approach has provided strong long term performance over the years through investing in a mix of equities and fixed income. Eugene will outline the fund’s positioning and performance in the context of navigating the recent volatile market conditions and his positive stance in respect of European recovery.
So far this year European equity markets have been highly volatile and have experienced significant sector rotations. In this live webcast Anas Chakra will give an update on the performance of the fund and outlines his market outlook and how the portfolio is positioned.
In this regular quarterly update on Asian markets, Matthew Sutherland, Head of Product Management (Asia), points out that the pull back in equity markets coupled with a more risk-on sentiment has resulted in flows starrting to come back into the asset class. Fundamentally Asian economies have some strengths, especially relative to non-Asian emerging markets. Matthew explores the China situation in some depth, first examining the challenges facing the country before elucidating some of its perhaps less often discussed strengths. He concludes by highlighting a couple of interesting fund ideas from the Asian equity range.
Following recent volatility in credit markets, David Simner, portfolio manager for the European Investment Grade franchise, will discuss why he remains constructive on the asset class in 2016. In this live webcast he will remind viewers of his investment philosophy, how the portfolios have evolved through this volatility and current themes across the funds, paying particular attention to FF Euro Short Term Bond and FF Euro Corporate Bond. There will be the opportunity to ask Dave questions on any of the topics covered at the end of the webcast.
Kevin O’Nolan and Nick Peters, Fidelity International
In this live webcast, Portfolio Managers Nick Peters and Kevin O’Nolan will give an update of the performance and positioning of the Fidelity Global Multi Asset Tactical (GMAT) Funds. They will discuss where and how they are edging into risk in the context of a broadly stable macro backdrop and weakness in equity markets.
Michael Sayers and Martin Dropkin, Fidelity International
Fidelity International’s annual Analyst Survey covers all regions and sectors. It aims to identify changes in corporate conditions at an early stage and identify new trends and investment opportunities. The survey is based on Fidelity analysts’ in-depth coverage of their sectors and enriched by insights gained in numerous conversations with decision-makers at companies.
For a long term investor, the rationale for investing in high yield today is particularly strong. However, the asset class has experienced volatility recently and challenges remain, especially in the commodity sensitive sectors such as energy. Peter Khan, Portfolio Manager of FF – Global High Yield Fund, discusses his views on the different regions and sectors within high yield, and shares his outlook for 2016.
Ian Spreadbury and Tim Foster, Fidelity International
Ian Spreadbury and Tim Foster explain the investment philosophy and process of the recently re-purposed FF Flexible Bond Fund. With high uncertainty embedded into the economic backdrop and recent market volatility demonstrating that it is all too easy for investors to get caught out, they discuss why this is the right time for a more flexible approach to bond investing.
In this live webcast, Fabio Riccelli takes stock; reflecting on a particularly successful year for the FF European Dynamic Growth fund. He also discusses where he’s finding interesting opportunities across the market cap spectrum, and how the market and macro environments are developing. As ever, Fabio focuses on identifying undervalued companies whose growth drivers are not dependent on external factors
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